SPX500 might be in complete control of bears as the indice drops more than 8.0% since printing 3588 highs early this month. Furthermore, it has clearly entered into the sell zone of its immediate trend line support as bears were able to push towards 3300 mark.
SPX500 has managed to pullback since then, and trades close to 3400 mark for now. The indice has carved a meaningful bearish boundary between 3588 and 3300 levels respectively. Watch out for a counter trend rally towards 3470/80 mark before finding resistance again.
SPX500 probable wave counts are as follows: The indice had terminated its larger degree Wave ((4)) around 2190 levels in March 2020. The sharp decline was just a part of a complex corrective structure. Since then, it has rallied through all-time highs around 3588 levels.
The above rally can be clearly sub divided into 5 waves, and it could be seen as the larger degree Wave ((5)) termination. If the above proposed wave counts are correct, SPX500 might be preparing for a meaningful corrective drop at a larger degree.
The indice might be preparing to terminate its first wave around 2190 mark, before producing a counter trend rally. Believe it or not, the drop is expected to be sharp from 3470/80 region. Bottom line is that 3588 should hold.
Traders might be preparing to initiate fresh short positions around 3470/80 resistance zone, with protective stops around 3600 mark and projected targets below 2500 over the near term.
Technical Analysis Team
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